Thailand Crop Output in 2017 and Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2018 ( Vol. 1 Jan 2018 )
Published on Wednesday, 24 January 2018 00:00
Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. The majority of models predict La Niña is likely (~85-95%) through Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral expected during the spring.
Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2017 ( Vol. 12 Dec 2017 )
Published on Friday, 05 January 2018 00:00
The tropical Pacific Ocean is in La Niña-like conditions with cooler than average sea surface temperature. Atmospheric indicators of El Niño/La Niña are showing patterns suggestive of La Niña conditions. Models suggest the tropical Pacific Ocean will remain cooler than average with more than 60% chance of La Niña conditions continuing up to the first quarter of 2018.
Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2017 ( Vol. 10 Oct 2017 )
Published on Friday, 10 November 2017 00:00
For the tropical Pacific, models indicate that the sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies will continue to be negative for the remaining part of 2017. For this period, expert consensus favors weak La Nina conditions to continue. On-going La Nina conditions are expected to be short-lived and to return to neutral conditions by first quarter of 2018.
OUTLOOK OF THAILAND CROP OUTPUT IN 2017 ( Vol. 7 July 2017 )
Published on Wednesday, 02 August 2017 00:00
During June, El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – neutral continued, although equatorial sea surface temperatures remained above average in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean. However, more than half of the models favor ENSO – neutral through the remainder of 2017.
OUTLOOK OF THAILAND CROP OUTPUT IN 2017 ( Vol. 6 June 2017 )
Published on Friday, 07 July 2017 00:00
For the tropical Pacific, most weather forecast models indicated that it will continue to warm gradually in the second half of 2017. For June-August 2017 season, latest experts’ consensus favors neutral conditions over El Niño..
OUTLOOK OF THAILAND CROP OUTPUT IN 2017 ( Vol. 5 May 2017 )
Published on Wednesday, 07 June 2017 00:00
Most weather forecast models indicated that the tropical Pacific will warm gradually in the second half of 2017 Forecasts suggest El Niño conditions being slightly favoured over neutral conditions from July-August-September (JAS) onwards.
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